Your ballot, measured
Every contest on Hillsborough ballot style 40300, with the polling behind it, how much that polling is worth, and who is connected to whom.
- Election
- Tuesday, Nov 3, 2026, polls 7 AM to 7 PM
- Early voting
- Oct 19 to Nov 1
- Precinct
- 403, ballot style 40300
- Data as of
- Oct 22, 2026 (latest poll fielded Oct 18 to 20)
- Built from
- Candidate records and polling research
This page reports what polls, filings and news sources say. It makes no recommendation. Polls are snapshots with error margins, and several here are paid for by groups with a stake in the result.
Who is connected to what
Endorsements, appointments, money and documented positions that link people and groups to the choices on your ballot. Moving dots show the direction of each link. Select a name to trace it; every line carries its source.
The map is wide; scroll it sideways.
How much polling there is, and how good
Most of the ballot has no public polling at all. What exists is concentrated in two statewide races and arrived in a rush after Labor Day. Ovals rate each poll on a simple, published rubric (see Method).
Surveys released per month
One bar segment per survey, by reliability. A survey that asked about several contests counts once.
Public polls to date, by contest
Running count of polls for each contest. Contests not shown have none.
Sample size of each survey
Larger samples have smaller sampling error. Hatched bars mean the sample size was not reported.
Reliability mix by contest
Count of polls rated high, medium or low.
Race by race, in ballot order
Each chart point is one poll. Point size follows sample size; solid points are high reliability, lighter are medium, hollow are low. Lines are a simple 45-day average of non-internal polls computed for this page, not the RealClearPolitics average (shown as diamonds). Hover or tap a point for its source.
The money
Reported fundraising, on a log scale so a $30M committee and a $34K campaign fit on one chart. Totals come from different dates and sometimes different scopes; the as-of note sits next to each pair.
Judicial retention
State amendments and the 60% line
Each amendment needs 60% yes to pass. All three were placed on the ballot by the Legislature. Amendment 3 has majority support in most polls but clears 60% in only two readings, one of them from a sponsored poll.
Hillsborough referendums
These need a simple majority. None has public polling. Each flow shows how the question got here and what changes if it passes.
How poll reliability is rated here
A transparent rubric built for this page, not an official pollster rating. It scores what is disclosed about each poll. It does not measure a pollster's track record or house effect.