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Research as of Nov. 1, 2026. Early voting: Mon., Oct. 19 to Sun., Nov. 1. Election Day: Tue., Nov. 3, 7 a.m. to 7 p.m..Early voting runs through 7 p.m. Sun., Nov. 1; Election Day is Tue., Nov. 3.Early voting ended Sun., Nov. 1. Election Day is Tue., Nov. 3, 7 a.m. to 7 p.m., at your precinct's polling place.Election Day, Tue., Nov. 3: polls are open 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. at your precinct's polling place.Polls closed at 7 p.m. Tue., Nov. 3; anyone in line by then still votes. Check your voter info at votehillsborough.gov

State House, District 69

State Legislature

Listen: this contest in 1:30

Research as of Nov. 1, 2026

Read by a synthetic voice from this page’s research. A summary, not a recommendation.

Read the transcript

Voters in State House District 69 are deciding whether to return a two-term Republican or elect a Democrat who has never held the seat. Republican Daniel "Danny" Alvarez, the incumbent, faces Democrat Ashley Elizabeth Herrmann. Alvarez is a lawyer and Army veteran who has served as general counsel to the Tampa Police Benevolent Association. He chairs the House Criminal Justice Subcommittee. He won reelection in 2024 with about 58 percent. He is endorsed by the Hillsborough Republican Party, the Florida Chamber of Commerce, Associated Industries of Florida and Florida Realtors. Herrmann holds economics and sustainability degrees from the University of South Florida, and her campaign describes her as a community organizer and Democratic Socialist. She proposes requiring insurers to respond to claims within 30 days, legislative approval of insurance rate increases, and state matching money for zero-fare buses in east Hillsborough. She lost a 2024 House race in another district. Tampa Democratic Socialists of America endorses her. No public poll was found. In state filings through October 29, Alvarez had raised about 221 thousand dollars, Herrmann about 26 thousand. Creative Loafing Tampa Bay's editors back Herrmann. The Tampa Bay Times made no picks in state House races. Research as of November 1, 2026. Sources and the full picture are on this page.

This contest is on some Hillsborough County ballots, not on the example ballot this site is built around. Find my ballot shows whether it’s on yours, or check your county’s sample ballot or the official precinct finder.Check your county’s sample ballot or the official precinct finder to see whether it’s on yours.

FactOfficial sample ballot wording

State Representative, District 69 · Vote for one

  • Daniel "Danny" AlvarezRepublican Party
  • Ashley Elizabeth HerrmannDemocratic Party
Lead recommendationEditorialCreative Loafing Tampa Bay, Oct. 22, 2026

Creative Loafing’s pick

Ashley Elizabeth Herrmann

Why

Creative Loafing listed this pick in its guide without a write-up. Its reporting on the race is below.

Creative Loafing voting guide 2026: How to vote in Tampa Bay, and who we're voting for

From the record our summary of sourced facts, not Creative Loafing’s words

  • She opposes Amendment 3 and runs on insurance reform, higher teacher pay and Medicaid expansion. (WFLA)
  • Her renter plan: let cities cap rent hikes again, a free lawyer in eviction court and full funding for the state housing trust fund. (Ashley Herrmann campaign)
  • Rep. Danny Alvarez wrote Amendment 2, the farm-equipment tax break CL opposes, and carried the House bill that banned fluoride in tap water. (The Florida Senate, WUSF)

Why this leads: The site owner's choice (Oct. 24): the recommendation that best matches the owner's values, shown first on every contest. Still an editorial: one outlet's opinion, not this site's.

Where it stands

Fact

Alvarez is the incumbent, and both nominees advanced without a primary because their primaries were canceled. Alvarez won the seat with 56.7% in 2022 and 58.2% in 2024. No public polling of this race was found. Through Oct. 29, 2026, DOS reports show Alvarez with $220,675.00 in monetary contributions and Herrmann with $25,977.61.2,1,14

  • 2024: Danny Alvarez (R) 58.2% (50,383) vs Bobby Kachelries (D) 41.8% (36,136)14
  • 2022: Danny Alvarez (R) 56.7% (35,123) vs Andrew Learned (D) 43.3% (26,824)14

No polls found in the research.

Research as of Oct 23, 2026.

The money gap

Fact

8.5×Daniel "Danny" Alvarez has raised 8.5 times as much as Ashley Elizabeth Herrmann.

  • Daniel "Danny" AlvarezRepublican · incumbent

    $220,675as of Oct 29, 2026

  • Ashley Elizabeth HerrmannDemocrat

    $25,978as of Oct 29, 2026

Monetary contributions reported to election officials. In-kind contributions and loans are left out here and listed under each candidate below.

Candidates and money

Fact

Daniel "Danny" AlvarezRepublican · incumbent

Republican incumbent, first elected to House District 69 in 2022 and reelected in 2024. A lawyer and U.S. Army veteran, he practices family law and has served as general counsel to the Tampa Police Benevolent Association. In the current term he chairs the House Criminal Justice Subcommittee.5,8,11

  • Qualified on June 11, 2026, and is listed by the Division of Elections as the incumbent.5,4
  • The Florida House lists his occupation as lawyer, with degrees from the University of Florida, Troy State University, Stetson College of Law and the University of Miami School of Law, and service in the U.S. Army.8
  • His campaign site says he was commissioned as an Army infantry officer in 1997, left in 2001 as a captain, and taught business law at the University of Tampa for almost nine years.21
  • Current-term House assignments: chair of the Criminal Justice Subcommittee, vice chair of the Security & Threat Assessment Committee, and member of Judiciary, Insurance & Banking, Justice Budget, and Transportation & Economic Development Budget panels.8
  • House sponsor of HB 433 (2026), a Department of Agriculture and Consumer Services bill; the House substituted the identical SB 290, which the Governor approved on March 23, 2026, as Chapter 2026-3.7,6
  • Had not completed Ballotpedia's 2026 Candidate Connection survey as of this check.13

Raised $220,675, spent $31,610 (DOS campaign treasurer's reports, all-dates totals through the period ending Oct. 29, 2026 (G6), as of Oct 29, 2026)Raised is monetary contributions only. The DOS summary also shows $30,500.00 in in-kind contributions and $0 in loans. The summary page does not show cash on hand.2

Ashley Elizabeth HerrmannDemocrat

Democratic nominee and first-time candidate for this seat. In 2024 she was the Democratic nominee in House District 49 and lost. She holds economics and global sustainability degrees from the University of South Florida. Ballotpedia lists her profession as business owner, and her campaign describes her as a community organizer and Democratic Socialist.5,12,9,20

  • Qualified on June 12, 2026, as a Democrat; she is also her own campaign treasurer.3
  • Lost the 2024 House District 49 general election to Republican Jennifer Kincart Jonsson, 32.9% to 67.1%.12
  • WUSF reports she earned a bachelor's in economics and a master's in global sustainability at USF, and calls herself a first-generation college graduate.9
  • In her Ballotpedia survey she says she has worked for working families at FDOT, in schools and in neighborhoods.12
  • On homeowners insurance, she proposes requiring insurers to respond to claims within 30 days, requiring legislative approval of rate increases, and imposing significant penalties for bad-faith denials.12
  • On transportation and growth, she says developers should pay their fair share, and she would seek state matching funds for zero-fare bus service in east Hillsborough corridors.12
  • On climate, she calls for state investment in hurricane resiliency and in solar power to lower electricity bills.12

Raised $25,978, spent $7,683 (DOS campaign treasurer's reports, all-dates totals through the period ending Oct. 29, 2026 (G6), as of Oct 29, 2026)Raised is monetary contributions only. The DOS summary also shows $596.00 in loans, $444.69 in in-kind contributions and $127.58 in other distributions. The summary page does not show cash on hand.1

Not found in the research

  • Tampa Bay Times: per the brief, its Nov. 3 recommendations list (updated Oct. 20) has no Florida House races, so times is null.
  • No write-in or minor-party candidates are listed for District 69 on the DOS 2026 general-election candidate list. Both halves of the list were checked.
  • The Hillsborough all-races sample ballot (votehillsborough.gov DocumentCenter/View/2615) returned HTTP 403 to automated fetches, so the ballot names and party labels are verified against DOS only.
  • Cash on hand is not shown on the DOS Campaign Finance Activity summary pages, so it is left null for both candidates. Itemized reports were not downloaded.
  • No public polls of this race were found.
  • Labor: the Florida AFL-CIO 2026 list (flaflcio.org) and the West Central Florida Labor Council list as of Oct. 7, 2026 make no District 69 endorsement.
  • The FEA voter toolkit (feaweb.org/action-center/voter-toolkit/) lists HD 69 as 'No action'.
  • Searched Equality Florida Action PAC (eqflpac.org), Sierra Club Florida, Florida Conservation Voters and Creative Loafing Tampa for District 69 and found no endorsements. Group-direct confirmation was also not found for Planned Parenthood PAC, Moms Demand Action or the Democratic Environmental Caucus, which appear only on the candidate's site or Ballotpedia.
  • Searched the Florida Democratic Party and Hillsborough County Democratic Party for a Herrmann endorsement and found none.
  • Herrmann's site also lists individual endorsers (former state Reps. Adam Hattersley and Sean Shaw, and St. Petersburg council member Richie Floyd). They are not recorded as group endorsements.
  • Ballotpedia also lists Sway 'voting groups' run by individuals for Herrmann. These were not recorded because they are not organizations.
  • Searched NRA-PVF, Florida Right to Life, Americans for Prosperity, Florida PBA/FOP, Florida Medical Association and Florida Farm Bureau for 2026 District 69 endorsements and found none. iVoterGuide lists NRA-PVF, ABC Florida and Florida Family Action endorsements for Alvarez, but only for the 2024 race, so they were not recorded.
  • iVoterGuide gives both candidates ideological ratings ('Conservative' and 'Liberal'). These are not endorsements and were not recorded.
  • Alvarez's campaign site lists no endorsements or issue positions. He had not completed Ballotpedia's 2026 survey.
  • No reliable reports of controversies, lawsuits or ethics complaints involving either candidate were found. A 2022 Florida Bulldog result mentioned a different Alvarez.
  • The Floridian Press (floridianpress.com) reported Herrmann's candidacy and the Rick Scott endorsement. Some of its listing pages showed unrelated 'hacked by' post titles, so it is treated as a low-reliability (tier 5) source and cited only for the Scott endorsement.

Tampa Bay Times

EditorialMoney map

Not found in the research.

EditorialAs recorded in each guide

Endorsements, both lenses

Neither lens is this site's voice

Progressive lens

Lens
Daniel "Danny" AlvarezREPIncumbent0 support · 0 oppose

No listings found in this guide.

Ashley Elizabeth HerrmannDEM12 support · 0 oppose

SupportEndorsement

Reproductive rights
  • Planned Parenthood PAC · Listed on the candidate's own site. WLRN's Oct. 13, 2026 report on the Florida Planned Parenthood PAC's legislative slate lists 14 House candidates and does not include District 69, so it is unconfirmed whether this is a 2026 endorsement.Aggregator only
LGBTQ+
Environment & climate
Progressive & community organizing
Civil rights & civil liberties
Gun safety
Democratic Party & caucuses

Searched, nothing found

Not found in the research.

Right-leaning lens

Lens
Daniel "Danny" AlvarezREPIncumbent5 support · 0 oppose

SupportEndorsement

Republican Party & officials
Business & industry
Ashley Elizabeth HerrmannDEM0 support · 0 oppose

No listings found in this guide.

Searched, nothing found

Not found in the research.

Sources

22 for this contest, official records first

Where to vote